Tuesday, August 6, 2019
Russia as a Threat to the US
Russia as a Threat to the US    This  essay will examine Russia as the most significant security threat/security  challenge confronting the U.S. The grand strategy to address that threat is retaking the offensive. Additionally,  the international theory of realism  that aligns with the grand strategy will be examined. Next, the essay will  explore the historical precedent of the Truman  Doctrine in order to support the grand strategy as an example of that  evidence.à   Last, the essay will discuss the  risks, as well as the international relations theory of liberalism, to illustrate this grand strategy.   The most significant security threat/security challenge that faces the U.S. today is Russia.[i] ââ¬Å"Russiaââ¬â¢s nuclear weapon stockpile and aggressive, unpredictable actions are reasons that country presents the most serious near-term threat to world wide stability.â⬠[ii] One rationale for this security challenge of the threat is that Russia partners with other weaker states, such as Syria, to instigate and supply these states in order to accomplish its own strategic objectives, by ââ¬Å"looking to leverage its military support to the Asad regimeâ⬠¦and use its military intervention in Syria, in conjunction with efforts to capitalize on fears of a growing ISIS and extremist threat to expand its role in the Middle East.â⬠[iii] With Russiaââ¬â¢s weapons capability, and action to create alliances with other weaker states, it offers these partnered states a stronger opportunity to use nuclear proliferation,[iv] or chemical weapons as a strategic rationale against    the U.S. to prevent the U.S. from acting against them, as well as an offensive strategy to use to attack the U.S.[v]à   These weaker states, like Syria, can present as great a danger as strong states to the U.S.ââ¬â¢ national interests.[vi]à   For example, weapons of mass destruction could be nuclear or biological.à   Biological weapons can be easily accessible; nuclear weapons are more difficult to obtain on its own, but a transnational terrorist organization can secure weapons from a state.[vii]à   à  Ã    Another  example of Russiaââ¬â¢s threat against the U.S., is its defiance of non-state  organizations, that Russiain its post-Soviet roleis ââ¬Å"re-surging with  authoritarianism and is aggressively contesting liberal norms, by seeking to  weaken and divide non-state organizations, such as, NATO and the EU.â⬠[viii]  To illustrate this point, Russia created a ground-launched cruise missile  (GLCM) that the U.S. claimed Russia violated the Intermediate-Range Nuclear  Forces (INF) Treaty. That breach enables Russia to continue to produce GLCMs,[ix]  thereby perpetuating the nuclear proliferation threat to the U.S.   Yet  another example is Russiaââ¬â¢s cyber threat.à    Russia is consistently seeking to use cyberspace to bolster its own  status, while attempting to threaten the U.S.ââ¬â¢s interests in the areas of:  government, military commercial, social and infrastructure.à   Recently, Russia used its aggression of cyber  to influence the U.S.ââ¬â¢s 2016 elections. Further, Russiaââ¬â¢s actors conducted  disruptive cyber attacks outside the U.S., and has ââ¬Å"leveraged cyber space to  seek to influence public opinion across Europe and Eurasia.â⬠[x]à   This is another security challenge for the U.S.,  as Russia continues to seek out weaknesses in the U.S.ââ¬â¢s systems as well as  partner with other states to build aggression against the U.S.   The  above discussed Russia security challenges raises the intensity of interest to  a level of vital, because of the seriousness  of its threats against the U.S. ââ¬Å"Protecting its physical existence when in jeopardy,  due to attack or threat of attack is the most important.â⬠[xi]  Further, a vital interest is one in which interest is so crucial to a state, it  will not compromise. An example of this is to ââ¬Å"prevent the regional  proliferation of WMDâ⬠¦prevent the emergence of a regional hegemon in regions,  promote the well-being of allies and friends and protect them from external  aggression.â⬠[xii] The  vital level corresponds to the basic  interest of defense of the homeland due  to those threats and therefore causes the U.S. to employ a strategy that aligns  with its national interest of survival.[xiii]  The example for this is toââ¬Å"prevent,  deter and reduce the threat of nuclear, biological and chemical weapon  attacksâ⬠¦prevent the emergence of hostile major powers or failed statesâ⬠¦Ã¢â¬ [xiv]  The evidence discussed above illustrates that Russia rises to the intensity  level of vital for the greatest  significant security challenge the U.S. faces.à    à    In  light of the security threat posed by Russia, the U.S. should pursue the grand  strategy of re-taking the offensive. Using  this approach for the advancement of the liberal order, serves the U.S.ââ¬â¢s  global interests. That the ââ¬Å"spread of democracy and market economics,  prominence of liberal ideas as the guiding norms of international affairs,  preservation of global stability and balance of powerâ⬠[xv]  is the accurate and appropriate direction for the U.S. to take regarding the  grand strategy. The re-taking the  offensive is important because it must continue sustain the liberal orderââ¬âto  pursue efforts to sustain and invigorate the momentum. To accomplish this, the  implications are to provide the U.S. with safety, security and prosperity (U.S.  citizens), retain and improve its diplomatic and economic ties with its allies (Germany,  France, UK, Japan, India and Australia), reinvest in liberal democratic programs  with non-governmental agencies (NATO, UN, EU), but most importantly, to  aggressively combat nuclear proliferation (Russia, Syria), as well as other  threats (chemical attack, terrorism) to the international order.[xvi]  An example of this re-take the offensive  approach is the relationship between the U.S. and Ukraine, through coalition  with each other, cooperate together in order to thwart regional hegemony  expansion by Russia. It shows evidence that illustrates how the grand strategy of  retaking the offensive addresses the  security threat to the U.S. by Russia. à    The  IR theory that aligns with the grand strategy is realism. Realists view world politics as a power struggle that is  conducted with conditions characterized by anarchy, and define a stateââ¬â¢s  interest in terms of levels of power over other states as a self-help mechanism.[xvii]  For example, using hard power as a means by which states advance their national  interests to force an enemy or reluctant ally to adhere to a stateââ¬â¢s national  objectives is the main objective in order to maintain domination over the other  states, thereby allowing the stronger state an opportunity to act upon its own agenda.  Further, peace is defined as the absence of war, occurs when states adhere to  their own singularly defined national interests. Once in place, it becomes an  intensive driving force, that states can no longer control its momentum, but  becomes engulfed in its movement, and then controlled by it.[xviii]  Therefore, as an example, by the US pushing back on Chinaââ¬â¢s significantly  growing political, military and economic power, this demonstrates how the U.S.  seeks to dominate another state. Chinaââ¬â¢s strategy of its own position of increasing  improvement, will motivate China into expanding its regional and global  influence, thereby propelling China into the competitive sphere of other major  superpowersââ¬âthe U.S. This endangers the U.S.ââ¬â¢s national interests, which must  then exert its own power in order to retain its superior position.[xix]    Further  illustrating domination by using hard power to dominate others, by incorporating  soft power thereafter, a state can replace domination by cooperation where  diplomatic, military and economic relationships of coalitions can flourish in  order to assert against other nations states from becoming important  international actors.[xx]  The IR theory of realism supports the  U.S. grand strategy of retaking the offensive  by using levels of power in a self-help method in which to control other  states in order to achieve its objectives.à    à  Ã  Ã  Ã    The  historical precedent of the Truman  Doctrine is an important document for U.S. foreign policy that is  considered the start of the Cold War. The doctrine  articulated that the United States would provide military, political, and  economic aid to threatened states that were under subjugation from outside  authoritarian forces.[xxi] Additionally, the Truman Doctrine created a policy  for containment and deterrence to thwart further expansion of Russia and its  sphere of influence[xxii].  To further illustrate the historical significance of  the threat from Russia, the doctrine was created in response to assist Greece and  Turkeydemocratic nations which were in danger of becoming overthrown by the  Russian regime. This doctrine supports the grand strategy of retaking the offensive, as the U.S. must  intervene and maintain its strategic interests in order to safeguard the world  against authoritarian/communist attempts to threaten and politically overturn  U.S. democratic spheres of influence throughout the world.à   à    The  risks, as viewed through the lens of the IR theory of liberalism, and the reliance on intelligence organizations and other  actors that play an increasingly important role regarding global affairs. Specifically,  the U.S.ââ¬â¢s reliance upon its alliances with these states and non-governmental  organizations to thwart Russia, illustrates that riskNATO, UN, and WTOin  order to follow their liberal mandate for Russia to be thwarted. The question  is whether or not these partners ââ¬Å"possess the vigor need to sustain or advance  that order.â⬠[xxiii]  The risk is the reliance on the influence to shape the environment for the success  of the U.S.; it is placing its fate in other organizationsââ¬â¢ hands, and  therefore relying upon its unknown ability to assist in exercising the U.S.ââ¬â¢s  strategic objectives. This risk demonstrates the justification of retaking the offensive as the grand  strategy regarding Russiaââ¬â¢s threat to the U.S.à      This  essay analyzed Russia as the most significant threat to the U.S. today. In  light of this threat, the grand strategy of retaking  the offensive is appropriate for the U.S. The IR theory of realism is the foundation for retaking the offensive, as illustrated  by the historical precedent of the Truman  Doctrine, whereas liberalism increases  the risk to this grand strategy of retaking  the offensive.  ENDNOTES    [i] Missy Ryan,  ââ¬Å"Pentagon unveils budget priority for next year: Countering Russia and China,â⬠ New York Times, February 2, 2016.  [ii] Leon Shane,  III, ââ¬Å"Incoming Joint Chiefs chairman calls Russia, China top threats, Military Times, July 9, 2015.   [iii] Daniel R.  Coats, ââ¬Å"World-wide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Communityâ⬠, Senate  Select Committee on National Intelligence, May 11, 2017: 1.  [iv] Glenn P.  Hastedt, ââ¬Å"Military Instruments:à   Big  Wars,â⬠ in American Foreign Policy: Past,  Present and Futureâ⬠, (Rowman and Littlefield, 2015), 334.  [v] Ibid.   [vi] Liana Sun  Wyler, ââ¬Å"Weak and Failing States: Evolving Security Threats and U.S. Policyâ⬠,  (Washington, D.C.: Congressional research Service, April 18, 2008): 1-8.   [vii] Stephen D.  Krasner, ââ¬Å"Failed States and American National Securityâ⬠, Hoover Institution  Journal, Hoover Institute, April 16, 2015.à      [viii] Hal Brands,  ââ¬Å"American Grand Strategy and the Liberal Order: Continuity, Change, and Options  for the Futureâ⬠, Building a Sustainable International Order, A RAND Project to  Further Explore U.S. Strategy in a Changing World, Perspective Expert Insights  on a Timely Policy Issue, The Rand  Corporation, 2016: 11.  [ix] Daniel R.  Coats, ââ¬Å"Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Communityâ⬠, Senate  Select Committee on National Intelligence, May 11, 2017: 6.  [x] Daniel R.  Coats, ââ¬Å"Worldwide Threat Assessment of the US Intelligence Communityâ⬠, Senate  Select Committee on National Intelligence, May 11, 2017: 1.  [xi] Dennis M.  Drew and Donald M. Snow, ââ¬Å"Making Twenty-First-Century Strategy: An Introduction  to Modern National Security Processes and Problemsâ⬠, Air University Press, (November 2006): 33  [xii] Alan G.  Stolberg, ââ¬Å"Crafting National Interests in the 21st Century in U.S.  Army War College Guide to National Security Issues, 5th ed. Vol. II,  ed. J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr; 13-21.à    Carlisle Barracks, PA: U.S. Army War College, June 2012.à  Ã     [xiii] Dennis M.  Drew and Donald M. Snow, ââ¬Å"Making Twenty-First-Century Strategy: An Introduction  to Modern National Security Processes and Problemsâ⬠, Air University Press, (November 2006): 33  [xiv] Alan G.  Stolberg, ââ¬Å"Crafting National Interests in the 21st Century in U.S.  Army War College Guide to National Security Issues, 5th ed. Vol. II,  ed. J. Boone Bartholomees, Jr; 13-21.à    Carlisle Barracks, PA: U.S. Army War College, June 2012.à  Ã     [xv] Hal Brands,  ââ¬Å"American Grand Strategy and the Liberal Order: Continuity, Change, and Options  for the Futureâ⬠, Building a Sustainable International Order, A RAND Project to  Further Explore U.S. Strategy in a Changing World, Perspective Expert Insights  on a Timely Policy Issue, The Rand  Corporation, 2016: 13.  [xvi] Ibid.  [xvii] Dr. Chris  Bolan, ââ¬Å"Realismâ⬠, lecture, U.S. Army War College, Carlisle Barracks, PA, cited  with permission of Dr. Bolan.   [xviii] Glenn. P  Hastedt, ââ¬Å"Defining American Foreign Policy Problems,â⬠ in American Foreign Policy: Past, Present and Future, (Rowman and Littlefield,  2015), 33.   [xix] Hal  Brands, ââ¬Å"American Grand Strategy and the Liberal Order: Continuity, Change, and  Options for the Futureâ⬠, Building a Sustainable International Order, A RAND  Project to Further Explore U.S. Strategy in a Changing World, Perspective  Expert Insights on a Timely Policy Issue, The  Rand Corporation, 2016: 11.  [xx] Ibid.    [xxi] Ibid.   [xxii] Ibid.  [xxiii] Hal Brands,  ââ¬Å"American Grand Strategy and the Liberal Order: Continuity, Change, and Options  for the Futureâ⬠, Building a Sustainable International Order, A RAND Project to  Further Explore U.S. Strategy in a Changing World, Perspective Expert Insights  on a Timely Policy Issue, The Rand  Corporation, 2016: 11.    
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